Is China due for a credit downgrade That question arose this week after Fitch Ratings warned that it might cut China’s local-currency debt rating on worries of rising defaults after a lending spree.
But some strategists argue that China is in a relatively good position. According to Andy Rothman, China macro strategist at CLSA, the government has plenty of fiscal firepower to help it withstand a potential global recession, despite a huge amount of spending during the stimulus in 2009.
“The overall level of Chinese government debt hasn’t gone up that much. I believe there’s very little constraint on the Chinese government’s fiscal capacity. Even if...